Coronavirus

[Sir Tokyo Sexwale]

14 minutes ago, Tommok said:

The mortality rate (of those tested positive) in Italy was around 7-8% according to the figures on the Guardian website yesterday - which was higher than I'd expected.

It's all over the place - 

China 3.95%

Italy 6.8%

Iran 4.8%

S Korea 0.9%

Spain 3.07%

France 2%

Germany 0.2%

 

 

 

[redjersey]

36 minutes ago, redjersey said:

Wuhan is in Hubei province which has a population of 58.8 million.

Confirmed infections in Hubei stand at 67,786 (as of March 13th)

1 infection per 867 population

Also, there have been 3062 deaths in Hubei. Death rate around 4.5%

That equates to 1 death per 19203 population.

Extrapolate those figures to the UK (Population 66.44 million) and you'd get a figure of around 3500 deaths.

But with the warning period we've had, you'd hope the death rate here would be lower.

[pipnasty]

Fancy seeing all of this going on in Europe and still thinking 'I'm still going skiing'

[scoose]

26 minutes ago, Sir Tokyo Sexwale said:

still looking at the data - China hit 80,000 on March 2 and is at 80,995 now - as said before either they're lying or seem to have contained it.

 

Italy has jumped to 21,000 and everywhere else is increasing which doesn't mean more people have it just more people diagnosed - Spain over 6,000, France & Germany in the 4,000s, the US 3,000 and UK, 1,100

there is absolutely zero chance of us being at 1100 people with this. Ive stopped looking at any figures now they are meaningless

[Sir Tokyo Sexwale]

4 minutes ago, redjersey said:

Also, there have been 3062 deaths in Hubei. Death rate around 4.5%

That equates to 1 death per 19203 population.

Extrapolate those figures to the UK (Population 66.44 million) and you'd get a figure of around 3500 deaths.

But with the warning period we've had, you'd hope the death rate here would be lower.

that's assuming every single person was affected though?

[Sir Tokyo Sexwale]

meanwhile

 

[redjersey]

12 minutes ago, Sir Tokyo Sexwale said:

that's assuming every single person was affected though?

No. The number of confirmed infections in Hubei represents 0.115% of the population.

A similar infection rate would extrapolate to about 76500 cases in the UK.

 

Edited March 15, 2020 by redjersey

[Sir Tokyo Sexwale]

ah right - sounds about right then.

 

The big question in all of this is how many of those not yet recovered (about 50%) recover, will the stats skew up or down or remain as is

[Molby]

54 minutes ago, Kvarme Ate My Food said:

It must not, repeat must not, turn into an all-night rave.

Meantime I’ve just watched the scenes in Spain

theyre actually telling people to get off the streets even if they’re walking along in an open space 

that means our CAPs will be broken up, with batons probably 

and as someone said, how do we walk our dogs?

Poor Olly and Lilo

[smithdown]

4 minutes ago, Molby said:

Meantime I’ve just watched the scenes in Spain

theyre actually telling people to get off the streets even if they’re walking along in an open space 

that means our CAPs will be broken up, with batons probably 

and as someone said, how do we walk our dogs?

Poor Olly and Lilo

There’s a tree costume sketch ready to jump out here, probably with batons also.

[drdooom]

9 minutes ago, smithdown said:

There’s a tree costume sketch ready to jump out here, probably with batons also.

Monty Python already did that how not to be seen sketch.

[muleskinner]

Daughters uni shutting down all face to face contact for the year.

[psl]

There is a huge decision about exams pending isn't there.

[Kvarme Ate My Food]

This is no way for humans to live.

[Bailo]

16 minutes ago, muleskinner said:

Daughters uni shutting down all face to face contact for the year.

Govt didn't bank on institutions making the lockdown for them

[Falconhoof]

13 minutes ago, psl said:

There is a huge decision about exams pending isn't there.

That’s a decision that needs to be made but not a life or death one.

[Redray]

Man in late 50's passes in Bristol making it 22.  Scary when having 'underlying conditions' could be anything really.  

[Tommok]

3 minutes ago, Bailo said:

Govt didn't bank on institutions making the lockdown for them

Or maybe they did

[RBM]

10 minutes ago, Kvarme Ate My Food said:

This is no way for humans to live.

Going to have a massive mental effect. Living in a constant existential dread, anxiety, and loss of normality is going to impact a lot of people. The lack of information and uncertainty is only compounding everything. 

[pipnasty]

13 minutes ago, RBM said:

Going to have a massive mental effect. Living in a constant existential dread, anxiety, and loss of normality is going to impact a lot of people. The lack of information and uncertainty is only compounding everything. 

If you speak to kids about climate change, this is what they are saying too

[RBM]

Just now, pipnasty said:

If you speak to kids about climate change, this is what they are saying too

This is true, both my kids, who are 7 and 5 are really worried about it, I don’t remember having these levels of worry when I was a kid

[pipnasty]

No, me neither 

[Des]

11 minutes ago, pipnasty said:

No, me neither 

I do.

[Kvarme Ate My Food]

1 minute ago, Des said:

I do.

Yeah me too.

I thought we’d all be wiped out before I turned 20.

[Des]

1 minute ago, Kvarme Ate My Food said:

Yeah me too.

I thought we’d all be wiped out before I turned 20.

Not trying to outdo you here but I was worried about nuclear war AND the Troubles.