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Monday's WC matches

RP

By RP
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Begbie

Begbie

Posted
Posted

Germany to win and both teams to score is 3/1. seems big that. Im gonna have a wee go on that i think in the first game

 

 

Think that's a good shout..will have some of that

 

Can also see a few cards so will look at the bookings markets

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Begbie

Begbie

Posted
Posted

Initial price on bookings is just about where it was for France v Honduras

 

 

No where near as good value as that.

 

Given what's at stake I can see most games have 3/4 bookings so limits the downside on the index bets. That said, I prefer to bet in play to see how fussy the ref is (plus, you can often see a point when the next foul will result in a booking). Not a perfect system...cost me yesterday

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RP

RP

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I usually/often do similar - buy for a very small stake pre-match and then look to add to it as and when during the game. If the ref is lenient, then i'm long but only with a half stake. If he looks strict, you might miss one booking by the time you add to your stake but I'd rather do it that way.

 

Yesterday was different as I just thought it was a mis-price, so I bought my full usual stake ... added to it at half-time (at 104, 55 so far) and then got out of that half (at 105, 65 so far) ten minutes and one booking later when it looked to be calming down a bit.

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Begbie

Begbie

Posted
Posted

I usually/often do similar - buy for a very small stake pre-match and then look to add to it as and when during the game. If the ref is lenient, then i'm long but only with a half stake. If he looks strict, you might miss one booking by the time you add to your stake but I'd rather do it that way.

 

Yesterday was different as I just thought it was a mis-price, so I bought my full usual stake ... added to it at half-time (at 104, 55 so far) and then got out of that half (at 105, 65 so far) ten minutes and one booking later when it looked to be calming down a bit.

 

Yeah, thought the ref was good overall but he could have added more cards second half and Pogna could have gone. Backs up your mis-price theory!

 

Be interesting to see what bookings price the next Honduras match is - can see a lot of money buying so maybe overpriced and a chance of a quick early profit

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Earl Hafler

Earl Hafler

Posted
Posted (edited)

No where near as good value as that.

 

Given what's at stake I can see most games have 3/4 bookings so limits the downside on the index bets. That said, I prefer to bet in play to see how fussy the ref is (plus, you can often see a point when the next foul will result in a booking). Not a perfect system...cost me yesterday

 

Milorad Mazic - seems a bit strict and inexperienced at International level and with this being a potentially tasty fixture...

 

Plenty of yellows but only one red ( second yellow ) last season in the CL. Booked 8 players and sent one player off in a CL game the season before.

 

Has cautioned 6 to 8 players in several games in the last two seasons.

Edited by Earl Hafler
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