The home advantage is the biggest point in Germany's favour. Applying the term "tactical genius" to Jürgen Klinsmann, as sammya did earlier, is IMO more than premature. This is his first real job and he has yet to prove himself. Erikson has more of a pedigree as a manager and in the last WC at least, I felt he'd been let down by the players. And to refer back to the thread title: it's a tournament. if you're in it, you can win it. England's chances are as good or as bad as any other of Europe's top teams.