I suppose it boils down to how much of a risk you take based upon his apparent potential knee issues. 50 million straight up might be too much of a risk. 30 million with 20 million of appearance based add ons maybe not.
He deffo knows someone. Or someone who knows someone. Maybe more than one. Pinch of salt should always be taken with any info. He could be getting spun lines himself. Then again considering his supposed links to Ayre that wouldn't be a shock.